水旱轮作植烟土壤有效磷的时空变异及风险评估
Spatio-temporal variability and environmental risk assessment on soil available phosphorus in tobacco-planting fields of paddy-upland rotation
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摘要: 为揭示典型水旱轮作区土壤有效磷的时空变异特征,为典型水旱轮作区合理施磷和控制磷素面源污染提供依据,以浏阳市2000年和2014年耕地土壤有效磷含量为研究对象,利用空间自相关、半方差函数及分形维数等方法,对县域内土壤速效养分时空变异特征和环境风险进行了评价。结果表明,2014年土壤有效磷含量增加了23.07mg/kg,增幅达119.53%;土壤有效磷Moran'sI指数呈下降趋势,分形维数和块金效应增加,说明土壤有效磷空间结构减弱,随机变异性增强;土壤有效磷"极高"等级和"很高"等级面积分别增加了46.95%和29.68%;而"高"和"适宜"等级面积分别下降了23.27%和53.36%;2014年浏阳市有效磷含量超过风险临界值的概率大幅增加,很高风险(概率>80%)区域占研究区域面积的1.27%,高风险(概率60%~80%)区域占研究区域面积的16.52%,中等风险(概率40%~60%)区域占研究区域面积的31.95%。浏阳以达浒镇为中心的东北部和以淳口镇为中心的中西部区域应作为农业面源磷污染的重点控制区。Abstract: To investigate the spatio-temporal variability of soil available phosphorus and provide a scientific basis for phosphorus fertilization and the control of nonpoint phosphorus pollution in typical paddy-upland rotation areas, the spatio-temporal variability and environmental risk of soil available phosphorus in Liuyang City were assessed with spatial autocorrelation, semi-variance function and fractal dimension methods by taking the available phosphorus content in fields of Liuyang in 2000 and 2014 as objects. The results showed that soil available phosphorus content increased by 23.07 mg/kg (up to 119.53%) from 2000 to 2014. Moran's I index of soil available phosphorus decreased, while fractal dimension and nugget effect increased, it thus indicated that the spatial structure of soil available phosphorus weakened and the stochastic variability enhanced over this period. The areas with "extremely higher" and "very higher" soil available phosphorus content increased by 46.95% and 29.68%, respectively; while those with "high" and "appropriate" soil available phosphorus content decreased by 23.27% and 53.36% , respectively. In 2014, the probability of available phosphorus content exceeding risk critical value in Liuyang increased sharply. "Very high risk" region (probability>80%), "high risk" region (probability 60%-80%) and "moderate risk" region (probability 40%-60%) accounted for 1.27%, 16.52% and 31.95% of the tested areas, respectively. The northeast areas around Dahu Town and the Midwest areas around Chunkou Town in Liuyang were the key control regions for agricultural nonpoint phosphorus pollution.
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