Abstract: In order to address the issue that the smoking taste offered by exported cigarettes differed from that offered by the cigarettes of the same brand sold in domestic markets due to high temperature exposure during storage and transportation, a model for predicting and evaluating the quality of cigarettes during storage and transportation was established based on numerical calculation method, wherein cigarette whiteness value B and smoking taste value D were used as major factors. If the whiteness value B < 75% or the smoking taste value D < 0, the quality of cigarettes would be considered unqualified. The results showed that: 1) The error of whiteness value B was less than 1.5% and that of smoking taste value D was less than 0.1, the model performed good prediction accuracy. 2) The effects of temperature during storage and transportation on the quality of cigarettes could be analyzed by the model, and the results indicated that shipping under constant-temperature condition and storing in temperature-controlled bonded warehouses could extend the storage time of cigarettes by about one year compared with the traditional transportation and storage process. The model supports the development of reasonable technical requirements for cigarette transportation and storage.