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基于Fisher判别法和烟叶化学成分的八大生态区烤烟判别模型构建

Construction of discriminative models for flue-cured tobacco from eight ecological areas based on Fisher Discriminant Analysis and tobacco chemical components

  • 摘要: 为建立准确、稳健的八大生态区烤烟判别模型,选取全国八大生态区烤烟样品,分析烟叶中70种常量和半微量成分,采用逐步引入方法对建模指标进行筛选,基于Fisher判别法和烟叶化学成分含量构建八大生态区烤烟判别模型,并将该模型拓展应用于企业库存醇化片烟。结果表明:①采用逐步引入法筛选指标,以出现70频次的化学成分作为建模指标构建的八大生态区烤烟判别模型,五折验证平均预测准确率最高,达91.5%。②采用Fisher判别法和化学成分含量构建的八大生态区烤烟判别模型,训练集判别准确率可达94.3%,测试集判别准确率达93.0%;各生态区空间投影位置整体上接近程度,与其实际地理位置接近程度、样本感官风格接近程度均较为吻合。③使用基于近红外光谱技术预测的70种烟叶化学成分含量数据,应用上述建模方法可实现对涵盖国内外烤烟的两家企业实际库存醇化片烟的精准和稳健判别。

     

    Abstract: To construct accurate and robust discrimination models for flue-cured tobacco from eight major ecological areas, flue-cured tobacco samples were collected from eight domestic ecological areas and 70 constants and semi-trace components in tobacco leaves were analyzed. The modeling indexes were screened using a stepwise selection method. Discrimination models for flue-cured tobacco from the eight ecological areas were constructed based on Fisher Discriminant Analysis (FDA) and contents of tobacco chemical components. The constructed models were used to discriminate aged tobacco strips in warehouses of sampled enterprises. The results showed that: 1) By using the stepwise selection method to screen the indexes and chemical components with a frequency of 70 as the modeling indexes, the average discrimination accuracy of the models was the highest, achieving 91.5% in the 5-fold cross-validation. 2) The discrimination models for flue-cured tobacco from the eight ecological areas constructed using the FDA method and chemical component contents had a discrimination accuracy of 94.3% in the training set and a discrimination accuracy of 93.0% in the test set. The proximity of the spatial projection positions of each ecological area was generally consistent with the proximity of the actual geographic locations and sensory styles of the leaf samples. 3) With the data of the 70 tobacco chemical component contents predicted by near-infrared spectroscopy, the above-mentioned modeling methods could be applied to accurately and robustly distinguish the actual aged tobacco strips of domestic and foreign flue-cured tobacco leaves in the warehouses of two enterprises.

     

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