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四川凉攀烟区农业界限温度下烟草伸根期温雨协同特征分析

Temperature-Rainfall Synergy Characteristics During Tobacco Root Elongation Stage on the Premise of Agricultural Threshold Temperatures in Liangpan Tobacco-Growing Area of Sichuan

  • 摘要: 为确定四川凉攀烟区烟草移栽期、优化伸根期的田间水分管理,基于四川凉攀烟区的气候特征,将农业界限温度与温雨协同规律相结合,量化不同保证率下的温雨匹配差异。以四川盐边、盐源、会理、越西4个典型烟区为研究对象,利用1951-2020年逐日气象观测数据,采用5日滑动平均法、经验频率法等,量化不同保证率下13、15、18和20℃农业界限温度的时空特征,引入温雨匹配系数(TRMC)对伸根期温雨协同特征进行量化,重点解析烟草伸根期温雨协同规律。结果表明:海拔是界限温度时空分异的核心驱动因素,在80%保证率条件下各界限温度初始日期较50%保证率整体推迟,区域间初始日期顺序依次为盐边、会理、越西、盐源;各烟区伸根期平均气温随界限温度阈值的升高而上升,空间上呈现盐边最高、盐源最低、越西和会理居中的特征; 80%保证率条件下温雨匹配系数(TRMC)显示出区域差异显著,盐边热量充足但干旱突出,TRMC显著偏低,水分为烟草伸根期生长的主要限制因子;盐源气温较低但降雨充足,TRMC随降水量增加逐步提高,充足的水分可弥补低温对烟草根系发育的不利影响;会理烟区低阈值界限温度下TRMC偏小、高阈值下TRMC显著提高,温雨协同性得到改善;越西烟区各温度阈值下TRMC均处于较高水平,温雨协同性最优。80%保证率的界限温度初始日期可作为确定烟草移栽期的核心气象因子,各烟区可依据温雨协同特征采取差异化田间水分管理措施。

     

    Abstract: This study focused on the climatic conditions of the Liangpan tobacco-growing areas in Sichuan Province, integrating agricultural threshold temperatures and temperature-rainfall synergy to quantify matching differences under various guarantee rates, it quantitatively evaluated the spatial differentiation of temperature-precipitation matching under different climatic guarantee rates. The daily meteorological observation data from 1951 to 2021 of four typical regions(Yanbian, Yanyuan, Huili, and Yuexi) were used to quantify the spatiotemporal characteristics of key agricultural threshold temperatures (13℃, 15℃, 18℃, and 20℃) under different guarantee rates, and the temperature-rainfall synergy during the tobacco root elongation stage was systematically analyzed by the 5-day moving average method and empirical frequency method. The Temperature-Rainfall Matching Coefficient (TRMC) was introduced to quantify the synergy during the root elongation stage. The results showed that altitude was the primary influenced factor for the spatiotemporal differentiation of agricultural threshold temperatures. The initial dates of all threshold temperatures at an 80% guarantee rate were later than those at a 50% guarantee rate, and the regional sequence of initial dates was Yanbian > Huili > Yuexi > Yanyuan. The average temperature during the root elongation stage in each tobacco region increased with the rise of threshold temperature, showing the highest in Yanbian, the lowest in Yanyuan, and moderate in Yuexi and Huili. At an 80% guarantee rate, TRMC exhibited significant regional differences: Yanbian had sufficient heat but severe drought, with low TRMC and water as the main limiting factor; Yanyuan had relatively low temperature but abundant rainfall, and higher rainfall improved TRMC and offset the adverse effects of low temperature on root development; Huili presented low TRMC under low thresholds but significantly improved TRMC and better synergy under high thresholds; Yuexi maintained high TRMC under all thresholds with the optimal temperature-rainfall synergy. The initial dates of agricultural threshold temperatures at an 80% guarantee rate can be used as the core meteorological reference for tobacco transplanting. The initial dates of agricultural threshold temperatures at an 80% guarantee rate can be used as the core meteorological reference for tobacco transplanting in this region. Differentiated water management strategies should be implemented according to regional temperature-rainfall synergy in each tobacco area. This study provides a meteorological basis for determining the tobacco transplanting date and managing water during the root elongation stage in tobacco-growing areas of Liangpan region, and also offers methodological references for quantitative research on temperature-rainfall synergy during key crop growth periods.

     

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