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基于二元正态分布和马氏距离的卷烟吸阻与通风率检测设备故障诊断方法

A fault diagnosis method for cigarette draw resistance and ventilation rate detecting equipment based on bivariate normal distribution and Mahalanobis distance

  • 摘要: 为了实现卷烟吸阻和通风率检测设备故障的快速诊断,提出了一种基于二元正态分布和马氏距离的诊断方法,并对人为设置的5种不同的设备故障类型进行诊断。先利用非参数检验,并结合相关图像,对训练集中吸阻与通风率数据是否符合二元正态分布进行检验;再依据马氏距离原理,基于训练集中吸阻与通风率数据的二元分布置信椭圆构建故障诊断模型;最后,对所建诊断模型的测试效果及异常点变量的贡献度进行了分析,以实现故障源的精准定位。结果表明:①训练集中吸阻与通风率数据符合二元正态分布假设。②在95%及99%置信水平下,所建诊断模型检测出的训练集中吸阻和通风率异常值的比例分别为4.81%~5.14%和0.67%~0.93%,均在可接受范围,表明实际数据分布比假设的二元正态分布更为集中,拟合效果良好。③所建诊断模型对主管路严重漏气类(A类)及主管路轻微漏气类(B类)故障具有较高的诊断灵敏度,最高异常值检出率分别为82.08%、53.59%;对上部密封圈破裂类(C类)及中部密封圈破裂类故障(D类)具备一定的识别能力,最高异常值检出率分别为12.40%、16.53%;对下部密封圈破裂类故障(E类)未能有效识别。该研究为卷烟生产过程中设备故障的快速诊断提供了理论依据和技术支持。

     

    Abstract: To achieve rapid diagnosis of faults in cigarette draw resistance and ventilation rate detection equipment, a fault diagnosis method based on bivariate normal distribution and Mahalanobis distance was proposed, and applied to five artificially set fault types. First, the hypothesis that draw resistance and ventilation rate data conform to a bivariate normal distribution was validated using non-parametric tests and graphical analysis. Subsequently, a fault diagnosis model was established based on the confidence ellipses of the bivariate distribution of draw resistance and ventilation rate data, following the principle of Mahalanobis distance. Further, the contribution scores of outlier variables were analyzed to enable precise identification of fault sources. The results showed that: 1)The draw resistance and ventilation rate data in the training set conform to a bivariate normal distribution. 2)Under the 95% and 99% confidence levels, the proportions of outliers detected by the model in the training set are 4.81%–5.14% and 0.67%–0.93%, respectively, both within acceptable ranges. This indicates that the actual data distribution is more concentrated than the assumed bivariate normal distribution, showing good fitting. 3)The method shows high diagnostic sensitivity for severe main pipeline leakage (Type A) and slight main pipeline leakage (Type B), with maximum outlier detection rates of 82.08% and 53.59%, respectively. It also exhibits certain identification capability for upper sealing ring rupture (Type C) and middle sealing ring rupture (Type D), with maximum outlier detection rates of 12.40% and 16.53%, respectively; however, it fails to effectively identify lower sealing ring rupture (Type E). This research provided a theoretical foundation and technical support for the rapid diagnosis of equipment faults in cigarette production processes.

     

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